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Red202
571274.2
261452.2
447683.0
Blue190
643635.8
198662.0
83468.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198151100250202190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
7Coral scored#6
37Coral points31
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +9
22Coral scored#19
78Coral points69
5Processor algae#5
7Net algae#7
30Processor points30
28Net points28
58Algae points58
136Total teleop127
Reef
9L4#8
9L3#11
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
41Game pieces#37
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
202Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#14
83.00.3
75.175.4
Auto22.3
Teleop56.9
End3.8
red by 14.9
834
#45
68.01.7
62.664.3
Auto13.0
Teleop42.5
End12.5
Second
5712
#36
74.20.3
65.966.2
Auto12.8
Teleop51.0
End10.3
red by 12.2
1986
#26
62.01.7
59.361.0
Auto16.3
Teleop36.7
End9.0
Third
2614
#35
52.20.3
45.445.7
Auto10.4
Teleop36.4
End5.3
red by 16.4
6436
#69
35.82.1
30.933.0
Auto10.4
Teleop24.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
83%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned