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Red183
162565.8
23356.1
19086.4
Blue184
156160.5
121875.1
100239.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215174120140160200240260280183184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+5
+5Endgame
Fouls+1
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
7Coral scored#8
35Coral points41
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +5
21Coral scored#25
77Coral points90
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
12Processor points12
24Net points16
36Algae points28
113Total teleop118
Reef
10L4#13
11L3#10
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#6
36Game pieces#39
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points6
183Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#4
86.41.6
79.477.8
Auto25.5
Teleop51.6
End9.3
red by 11.3
1218
#16
75.10.1
65.966.0
Auto20.1
Teleop43.3
End11.7
Second
1625
#41
65.81.6
60.859.2
Auto11.4
Teleop42.9
End11.5
red by 5.3
1561
#27
60.50.1
61.061.0
Auto15.5
Teleop38.6
End6.4
Third
233
#21
56.11.6
58.757.0
Auto9.0
Teleop41.2
End5.9
red by 17.1
1002
#68
39.00.1
42.142.1
Auto7.7
Teleop29.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsMissed58%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned