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Red187
253074.1
978568.0
154066.8
Blue217
303559.5
914064.4
452280.7
78%Model gave it22%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212190140160180200220240260280187217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+18
Endgame+28
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave3
5Coral scored#8
27Coral points41
33Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +7
20Coral scored#30
72Coral points107
4Processor algae#2
8Net algae#4
24Processor points12
32Net points16
56Algae points28
128Total teleop135
Reef
7L4#15
9L3#10
7L2#9
2L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points2
187Total score217

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2530
#42
74.11.7
73.071.3
Auto13.8
Teleop49.4
End11.0
blue by 6.6
80.71.2
79.780.9
Auto20.5
Teleop52.0
End8.3
Second
9785
#34
68.01.7
59.958.2
Auto12.8
Teleop48.1
End7.0
red by 3.6
9140
#12
64.41.2
60.661.8
Auto12.2
Teleop44.0
End8.1
Third
1540
#66
66.81.7
71.269.5
Auto8.9
Teleop50.4
End7.5
red by 7.4
59.51.2
48.249.4
Auto10.0
Teleop40.9
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
71%Coral oddsMissed89%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned