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Red135
186839.0
303559.5
1001125.3
Blue128
901639.8
640126.2
261452.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123122100110130140150135128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+3Teleop
Endgame+5
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave6
4Coral scored#7
21Coral points35
30Total auto41
TeleoperatedRed +14
16Coral scored#12
57Coral points43
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
77Total teleop63
Reef
8L4#5
7L3#7
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
12Foul points0
135Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.9
54.455.2
Auto10.0
Teleop40.9
End8.6
red by 7.3
2614
#35
52.21.3
51.452.7
Auto10.4
Teleop36.4
End5.3
Second
1868
#46
39.00.9
31.632.5
Auto11.8
Teleop22.9
End4.3
blue by 0.7
9016
#47
39.81.3
36.237.4
Auto7.5
Teleop26.1
End6.3
Third
25.30.9
23.924.8
Auto6.1
Teleop17.4
End1.8
blue by 0.9
6401
#58
26.21.3
21.622.9
Auto6.8
Teleop17.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned