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Red161
438144.2
97177.9
1069029.3
Blue232
770952.3
162565.8
948383.3
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14820450100250300161232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+51
Endgame+71
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points17
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +48
20Coral scored#24
72Coral points86
5Processor algae#8
5Net algae#9
30Processor points48
20Net points36
50Algae points84
122Total teleop170
Reef
7L4#9
6L3#8
6L2#6
6L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points0
161Total score232

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#17
77.90.6
72.773.3
Auto13.2
Teleop53.5
End11.2
blue by 5.4
83.32.3
76.178.4
Auto19.7
Teleop55.2
End8.4
Second
4381
#62
44.20.6
38.739.3
Auto12.4
Teleop26.2
End5.6
blue by 21.6
1625
#41
65.82.3
60.562.8
Auto11.4
Teleop42.9
End11.5
Third
29.30.6
30.130.6
Auto5.1
Teleop21.2
End3.0
blue by 23.0
7709
#59
52.32.3
49.852.1
Auto13.1
Teleop35.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned80%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned