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Red219
35354.3
850345.6
494689.7
Blue202
903729.5
154066.8
281361.5
71%Model gave it29%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19116050100250300219202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+39Teleop
+29Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
9Leave6
8Coral scored#4
41Coral points21
50Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +16
26Coral scored#28
95Coral points99
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
24Processor points12
24Net points16
48Algae points28
143Total teleop127
Reef
10L4#8
8L3#14
9L2#7
7L1 · trough#3
44Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points12
219Total score202

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.72.2
84.686.8
Auto21.7
Teleop57.2
End10.9
red by 22.9
1540
#66
66.82.0
65.367.3
Auto8.9
Teleop50.4
End7.5
Second
353
#43
54.32.2
47.249.5
Auto10.6
Teleop40.6
End3.0
blue by 7.2
2813
#20
61.52.0
55.757.7
Auto8.1
Teleop42.7
End10.7
Third
8503
#60
45.62.2
42.444.7
Auto10.0
Teleop28.8
End6.8
red by 16.1
9037
#65
29.52.0
27.229.2
Auto6.8
Teleop19.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
73%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned