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Red201
62067.6
288351.0
978568.0
Blue143
698932.8
312873.5
179247.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197154100250300201143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+56Teleop
+56Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
3Leave0
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points32
44Total auto32
TeleoperatedRed +44
24Coral scored#20
85Coral points71
5Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
30Processor points12
24Net points12
54Algae points24
139Total teleop95
Reef
11L4#10
9L3#8
9L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
2Foul points0
201Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9785
#34
68.01.1
65.866.9
Auto12.8
Teleop48.1
End7.0
blue by 5.6
3128
#18
73.50.0
68.268.2
Auto14.4
Teleop48.8
End10.3
Second
620
#11
67.61.1
66.267.3
Auto18.4
Teleop46.5
End2.7
red by 20.2
1792
#48
47.40.0
47.547.4
Auto10.0
Teleop29.5
End7.9
Third
2883
#33
51.01.1
50.651.7
Auto10.4
Teleop37.4
End3.3
red by 18.2
6989
#39
32.80.0
27.627.6
Auto6.8
Teleop20.1
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
47%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned