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Red219
584771.9
399068.5
900847.3
Blue136
156160.5
643635.8
907736.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20413350100150250219136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+63Teleop
+83Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
10Coral scored#7
48Coral points35
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +56
29Coral scored#13
104Coral points48
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
18Processor points18
20Net points20
38Algae points38
142Total teleop86
Reef
18L4#9
9L3#6
8L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
47Game pieces#28
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
0Foul points0
219Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.91.9
68.870.6
Auto15.8
Teleop53.3
End2.9
red by 11.5
1561
#27
60.50.2
58.758.5
Auto15.5
Teleop38.6
End6.4
Second
3990
#29
68.51.9
64.566.4
Auto16.8
Teleop42.8
End9.0
red by 31.6
9077
#67
36.90.2
31.131.0
Auto9.9
Teleop26.7
End0.4
Third
9008
#40
47.31.9
46.348.2
Auto8.2
Teleop31.8
End7.3
red by 11.5
6436
#69
35.80.2
37.837.7
Auto10.4
Teleop24.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
67%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed