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Red194
18089.8
299257.0
770952.3
Blue240
17673.6
776978.5
821460.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208212180190200220230240194240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+34
Endgame+34
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave6
8Coral scored#9
41Coral points45
50Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +33
22Coral scored#27
78Coral points97
2Processor algae#5
7Net algae#6
12Processor points30
28Net points24
40Algae points54
118Total teleop151
Reef
13L4#16
7L3#7
6L2#10
4L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#47
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points12
194Total score240

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#8
89.80.5
84.884.2
Auto20.1
Teleop59.7
End10.0
red by 11.3
7769
#32
78.51.1
77.378.4
Auto16.4
Teleop51.6
End10.4
Second
2992
#22
57.00.5
56.756.2
Auto12.6
Teleop40.1
End4.4
blue by 16.6
176
#19
73.61.1
72.673.7
Auto18.8
Teleop46.5
End8.3
Third
7709
#59
52.30.5
52.151.5
Auto13.1
Teleop35.9
End3.3
blue by 8.5
60.71.1
53.254.3
Auto15.2
Teleop42.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
82%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned