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Red148
70633.7
261452.2
541169.8
Blue200
438144.2
253074.1
386353.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165182050100200250300350148200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+30
Endgame+52
Fouls+52
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points21
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +30
16Coral scored#26
58Coral points94
5Processor algae#4
4Net algae#4
30Processor points24
16Net points16
46Algae points40
104Total teleop134
Reef
10L4#11
5L3#11
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points0
148Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
#25
69.80.7
64.764.1
Auto17.8
Teleop43.0
End9.0
blue by 4.3
2530
#42
74.11.8
74.476.2
Auto13.8
Teleop49.4
End11.0
Second
2614
#35
52.20.7
52.752.0
Auto10.4
Teleop36.4
End5.3
blue by 0.8
3863
#37
53.01.8
48.550.2
Auto7.7
Teleop35.5
End9.9
Third
706
#55
33.70.7
29.328.6
Auto7.3
Teleop20.3
End6.1
blue by 10.6
4381
#62
44.21.8
39.341.0
Auto12.4
Teleop26.2
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned