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Red210
571274.2
162565.8
186839.0
Blue243
447683.0
223084.9
237064.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167236100150200250300210243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+43
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
7Coral scored#10
37Coral points51
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +29
25Coral scored#29
91Coral points106
3Processor algae#4
7Net algae#9
18Processor points24
28Net points36
46Algae points60
137Total teleop166
Reef
14L4#15
6L3#11
6L2#8
6L1 · trough#5
42Game pieces#52
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
210Total score243

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5712
#36
74.22.4
68.270.6
Auto12.8
Teleop51.0
End10.3
blue by 10.8
2230
#28
84.90.8
80.481.2
Auto20.8
Teleop53.8
End10.3
Second
1625
#41
65.82.4
62.865.1
Auto11.4
Teleop42.9
End11.5
blue by 17.1
4476
#14
83.00.8
77.678.4
Auto22.3
Teleop56.9
End3.8
Third
1868
#46
39.02.4
32.534.8
Auto11.8
Teleop22.9
End4.3
blue by 25.4
2370
#30
64.50.8
61.862.6
Auto11.0
Teleop45.3
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned94%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned