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Red192
350638.8
901639.8
948383.3
Blue161
642930.6
100239.0
969263.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17413450100150200250192161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+21Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
9Leave3
7Coral scored#7
33Coral points34
42Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +16
22Coral scored#16
78Coral points58
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#7
24Processor points12
12Net points28
36Algae points40
114Total teleop98
Reef
13L4#9
6L3#7
8L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
192Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.32.0
78.480.4
Auto19.7
Teleop55.2
End8.4
red by 19.6
9692
#52
63.71.8
59.761.5
Auto16.8
Teleop37.2
End9.7
Second
9016
#47
39.82.0
37.439.4
Auto7.5
Teleop26.1
End6.3
red by 0.8
1002
#68
39.01.8
38.440.2
Auto7.7
Teleop29.7
End1.6
Third
3506
#54
38.82.0
41.043.0
Auto6.6
Teleop23.5
End8.6
red by 8.1
6429
#50
30.61.8
29.431.3
Auto4.3
Teleop19.0
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
69%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned