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Red180
49871.8
640126.2
753962.5
Blue262
755878.6
452280.7
19086.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15326450100200300350180262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
Teleop+72
Endgame+82
Fouls+82
AutonomousBlue +38
0Leave9
7Coral scored#13
34Coral points63
34Total auto72
TeleoperatedBlue +34
23Coral scored#24
82Coral points86
3Processor algae#6
5Net algae#8
18Processor points36
20Net points32
38Algae points68
120Total teleop154
Reef
12L4#13
9L3#12
4L2#7
5L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#51
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +82
0Foul points0
180Total score262

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#15
71.81.3
67.168.4
Auto13.5
Teleop49.2
End9.1
blue by 14.6
190
#4
86.40.8
84.084.9
Auto25.5
Teleop51.6
End9.3
Second
7539
#24
62.51.3
59.060.3
Auto12.4
Teleop41.1
End9.0
blue by 18.2
80.70.8
76.677.5
Auto20.5
Teleop52.0
End8.3
Third
6401
#58
26.21.3
22.924.2
Auto6.8
Teleop17.3
End2.1
blue by 52.4
7558
#10
78.60.8
77.478.3
Auto19.2
Teleop47.8
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
60%Coral oddsEarned99%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned