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Red110
468046.4
1001125.3
871125.1
Blue169
353661.6
153866.8
345929.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9218750150200250110169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+45
Endgame+59
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +34
14Coral scored#18
50Coral points64
3Processor algae#5
5Net algae#7
18Processor points30
20Net points28
38Algae points58
88Total teleop122
Reef
6L4#10
4L3#6
4L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +14
10Cage & park24
10Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points0
110Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4680
#49
46.40.8
43.644.4
Auto3.5
Teleop36.5
End6.4
blue by 20.5
1538
#64
66.80.5
64.164.6
Auto15.5
Teleop43.7
End7.6
Second
25.30.8
24.825.6
Auto6.1
Teleop17.4
End1.8
blue by 36.2
3536
#53
61.60.5
59.960.4
Auto10.9
Teleop42.6
End8.1
Third
8711
#73
25.10.8
22.223.0
Auto3.5
Teleop18.9
End2.6
blue by 4.4
3459
#56
29.40.5
29.029.4
Auto1.8
Teleop22.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned