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Red238
299257.0
97177.9
494689.7
Blue190
303559.5
19086.4
3420.1
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243176100150200300350238190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+58Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave6
10Coral scored#8
50Coral points38
53Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +49
36Coral scored#22
129Coral points80
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
18Processor points6
12Net points24
30Algae points30
159Total teleop110
Reef
18L4#12
12L3#6
10L2#8
6L1 · trough#4
52Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
238Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.70.6
86.887.4
Auto21.7
Teleop57.2
End10.9
red by 3.3
190
#4
86.41.0
84.985.9
Auto25.5
Teleop51.6
End9.3
Second
971
#17
77.90.6
75.075.6
Auto13.2
Teleop53.5
End11.2
red by 18.4
59.51.0
55.156.1
Auto10.0
Teleop40.9
End8.6
Third
2992
#22
57.00.6
56.256.8
Auto12.6
Teleop40.1
End4.4
red by 36.9
34
#74
20.11.0
23.424.4
Auto2.2
Teleop13.1
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
92%Coral oddsEarned72%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned