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Red193
571274.2
288351.0
20143.7
Blue171
413524.8
17673.6
438144.2
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187153100200250193171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+14Teleop
+24Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
8Coral scored#8
41Coral points38
44Total auto41
TeleoperatedRed +11
21Coral scored#23
75Coral points82
3Processor algae#2
10Net algae#7
18Processor points12
40Net points28
58Algae points40
133Total teleop122
Reef
10L4#13
9L3#9
7L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points2
193Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5712
#36
74.21.1
70.671.7
Auto12.8
Teleop51.0
End10.3
red by 0.5
176
#19
73.61.4
73.775.1
Auto18.8
Teleop46.5
End8.3
Second
2883
#33
51.01.1
51.752.7
Auto10.4
Teleop37.4
End3.3
red by 6.8
4381
#62
44.21.4
41.042.4
Auto12.4
Teleop26.2
End5.6
Third
201
#31
43.71.1
43.144.2
Auto11.9
Teleop24.0
End7.8
red by 18.9
4135
#75
24.81.4
22.824.2
Auto5.7
Teleop16.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
63%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsMissed