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Red212
468046.4
281361.5
541169.8
Blue218
1058966.8
978568.0
162565.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183223150200250300212218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
5Coral scored#4
25Coral points21
34Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +10
29Coral scored#22
104Coral points80
4Processor algae#5
6Net algae#13
24Processor points30
24Net points52
48Algae points82
152Total teleop162
Reef
10L4#7
15L3#7
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#6
44Game pieces#44
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
212Total score218

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
#25
69.82.3
64.166.4
Auto17.8
Teleop43.0
End9.0
red by 1.8
9785
#34
68.00.5
66.967.4
Auto12.8
Teleop48.1
End7.0
Second
2813
#20
61.52.3
57.760.0
Auto8.1
Teleop42.7
End10.7
blue by 5.3
66.80.5
66.867.3
Auto10.9
Teleop51.4
End4.5
Third
4680
#49
46.42.3
44.446.7
Auto3.5
Teleop36.5
End6.4
blue by 19.4
1625
#41
65.80.5
65.165.7
Auto11.4
Teleop42.9
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
60%Coral oddsEarned51%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned