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Red181
154066.8
657451.9
969263.7
Blue155
1069029.3
1001125.3
776978.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20014050100250300181155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+42Teleop
+32Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points34
30Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +46
25Coral scored#21
91Coral points75
5Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
30Processor points12
24Net points12
54Algae points24
145Total teleop99
Reef
8L4#9
10L3#10
8L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points6
181Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#66
66.80.8
67.366.6
Auto8.9
Teleop50.4
End7.5
blue by 11.6
7769
#32
78.50.2
78.478.7
Auto16.4
Teleop51.6
End10.4
Second
9692
#52
63.70.8
61.560.7
Auto16.8
Teleop37.2
End9.7
red by 34.5
29.30.2
30.230.4
Auto5.1
Teleop21.2
End3.0
Third
6574
#23
51.90.8
52.451.6
Auto9.4
Teleop34.8
End7.7
red by 26.6
25.30.2
25.625.8
Auto6.1
Teleop17.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned