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Red120
903729.5
350638.8
770952.3
Blue203
403971.5
753962.5
261452.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13020850100150250300120203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+61
Endgame+83
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points24
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +57
14Coral scored#26
51Coral points94
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
12Processor points18
20Net points28
32Algae points46
83Total teleop140
Reef
8L4#11
3L3#9
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#7
25Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +83
0Foul points0
120Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7709
#59
52.30.4
51.551.1
Auto13.1
Teleop35.9
End3.3
blue by 19.2
4039
#57
71.51.1
68.469.5
Auto17.8
Teleop44.2
End9.5
Second
3506
#54
38.80.4
43.042.6
Auto6.6
Teleop23.5
End8.6
blue by 23.7
7539
#24
62.51.1
60.361.4
Auto12.4
Teleop41.1
End9.0
Third
9037
#65
29.50.4
29.228.8
Auto6.8
Teleop19.1
End3.6
blue by 22.7
2614
#35
52.21.1
52.053.1
Auto10.4
Teleop36.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed82%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned