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Red182
223084.9
857322.7
186839.0
Blue207
49871.8
153866.8
907736.9
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151175100200182207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+27
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
7Coral scored#7
35Coral points35
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +27
23Coral scored#29
84Coral points103
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
18Processor points18
20Net points28
38Algae points46
122Total teleop149
Reef
9L4#13
11L3#11
6L2#8
4L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#46
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
182Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2230
#28
84.92.8
83.286.0
Auto20.8
Teleop53.8
End10.3
red by 13.1
498
#15
71.83.0
68.171.1
Auto13.5
Teleop49.2
End9.1
Second
1868
#46
39.02.8
36.138.9
Auto11.8
Teleop22.9
End4.3
blue by 27.8
1538
#64
66.83.0
63.065.9
Auto15.5
Teleop43.7
End7.6
Third
8573
#71
22.72.8
20.523.4
Auto4.6
Teleop17.4
End0.7
blue by 14.2
9077
#67
36.93.0
31.334.3
Auto9.9
Teleop26.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsMissed