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Red164
253074.1
534852.5
850345.6
Blue171
18089.8
871125.1
179247.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188170100150200250300164171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+9Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +16
9Leave3
8Coral scored#6
40Coral points30
49Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +7
20Coral scored#21
71Coral points74
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
99Total teleop106
Reef
9L4#8
8L3#10
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points6
164Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2530
#42
74.10.7
76.375.6
Auto13.8
Teleop49.4
End11.0
blue by 15.6
180
#8
89.80.3
87.087.4
Auto20.1
Teleop59.7
End10.0
Second
5348
#38
52.50.7
51.550.7
Auto9.6
Teleop35.2
End7.7
red by 5.0
1792
#48
47.40.3
47.147.4
Auto10.0
Teleop29.5
End7.9
Third
8503
#60
45.60.7
44.343.5
Auto10.0
Teleop28.8
End6.8
red by 20.6
8711
#73
25.10.3
23.323.7
Auto3.5
Teleop18.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed44%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned