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Red111
288351.0
345929.4
643635.8
Blue196
20143.7
100239.0
62067.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13717850100150200250300111196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+33
Endgame+43
Fouls+85
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave3
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points33
16Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +13
18Coral scored#13
63Coral points48
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#9
6Processor points18
20Net points36
26Algae points54
89Total teleop102
Reef
10L4#6
4L3#7
2L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +85
0Foul points42
111Total score196

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#33
51.01.0
52.751.7
Auto10.4
Teleop37.4
End3.3
blue by 16.6
620
#11
67.60.2
66.966.7
Auto18.4
Teleop46.5
End2.7
Second
6436
#69
35.81.0
37.336.2
Auto10.4
Teleop24.4
End1.1
blue by 7.9
201
#31
43.70.2
44.244.0
Auto11.9
Teleop24.0
End7.8
Third
3459
#56
29.41.0
31.130.1
Auto1.8
Teleop22.2
End5.4
blue by 9.6
1002
#68
39.00.2
40.440.1
Auto7.7
Teleop29.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned