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Red221
19086.4
948383.3
198662.0
Blue207
223084.9
584771.9
253074.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2462400100200300400500600221207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave3
11Coral scored#7
55Coral points37
64Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +14
29Coral scored#25
105Coral points89
3Processor algae#6
3Net algae#6
18Processor points36
12Net points24
30Algae points60
135Total teleop149
Reef
16L4#11
10L3#5
8L2#10
6L1 · trough#6
46Game pieces#44
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +14
6Foul points2
221Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#4
86.40.4
86.786.3
Auto25.5
Teleop51.6
End9.3
red by 1.4
2230
#28
84.90.6
85.684.9
Auto20.8
Teleop53.8
End10.3
Second
83.30.4
83.683.2
Auto19.7
Teleop55.2
End8.4
red by 9.2
2530
#42
74.10.6
74.874.1
Auto13.8
Teleop49.4
End11.0
Third
1986
#26
62.00.4
62.762.3
Auto16.3
Teleop36.7
End9.0
blue by 9.9
71.90.6
72.671.9
Auto15.8
Teleop53.3
End2.9