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Red231
223084.9
584771.9
253074.1
Blue244
97177.9
978568.0
447683.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239233180200220260280300231244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave6
11Coral scored#8
55Coral points41
58Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +22
24Coral scored#38
87Coral points135
3Processor algae#2
11Net algae#6
18Processor points12
44Net points24
62Algae points36
149Total teleop171
Reef
12L4#17
9L3#14
8L2#9
6L1 · trough#6
49Game pieces#54
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
231Total score244

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2230
#28
84.90.0
84.984.9
Auto20.8
Teleop53.8
End10.3
red by 2.0
4476
#14
83.00.4
81.582.0
Auto22.3
Teleop56.9
End3.8
Second
2530
#42
74.10.0
74.174.1
Auto13.8
Teleop49.4
End11.0
blue by 3.7
971
#17
77.90.4
76.576.9
Auto13.2
Teleop53.5
End11.2
Third
71.90.0
71.971.9
Auto15.8
Teleop53.3
End2.9
red by 4.0
9785
#34
68.00.4
66.567.0
Auto12.8
Teleop48.1
End7.0