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Red265
18089.8
49871.8
494689.7
Blue236
776978.5
5973.1
312873.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262240150200300350400265236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
11Coral scored#10
55Coral points48
58Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +24
35Coral scored#24
127Coral points87
4Processor algae#6
6Net algae#7
24Processor points36
24Net points28
48Algae points64
175Total teleop151
Reef
17L4#11
11L3#12
10L2#4
8L1 · trough#7
56Game pieces#47
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +29
6Foul points8
265Total score236

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#8
89.80.1
88.888.6
Auto20.1
Teleop59.7
End10.0
red by 11.3
7769
#32
78.50.4
78.978.5
Auto16.4
Teleop51.6
End10.4
Second
89.70.1
88.788.6
Auto21.7
Teleop57.2
End10.9
red by 16.1
3128
#18
73.50.4
74.073.6
Auto14.4
Teleop48.8
End10.3
Third
498
#15
71.80.1
71.971.8
Auto13.5
Teleop49.2
End9.1
blue by 1.3
59
#5
73.10.4
73.573.1
Auto8.0
Teleop55.3
End9.8