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Red244
19086.4
948383.3
162565.8
Blue204
452280.7
755878.6
403971.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251246150200300350400244204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+40Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
9Leave0
12Coral scored#10
61Coral points51
70Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +21
28Coral scored#23
100Coral points81
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#7
24Processor points18
24Net points28
48Algae points46
148Total teleop127
Reef
16L4#16
11L3#7
8L2#4
5L1 · trough#6
50Game pieces#43
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
244Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#4
86.40.2
86.386.5
Auto25.5
Teleop51.6
End9.3
red by 5.6
80.70.7
81.981.3
Auto20.5
Teleop52.0
End8.3
Second
83.30.2
83.283.4
Auto19.7
Teleop55.2
End8.4
red by 4.7
7558
#10
78.60.7
79.879.1
Auto19.2
Teleop47.8
End11.7
Third
1625
#41
65.80.2
65.465.6
Auto11.4
Teleop42.9
End11.5
blue by 5.7
4039
#57
71.50.7
72.171.5
Auto17.8
Teleop44.2
End9.5