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Red219
776978.5
541169.8
312873.5
Blue245
97177.9
978568.0
447683.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions238239180200220260280300320219245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+36
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave0
8Coral scored#10
38Coral points50
44Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +30
34Coral scored#30
123Coral points109
1Processor algae#5
5Net algae#10
6Processor points30
20Net points40
26Algae points70
149Total teleop179
Reef
20L4#17
12L3#13
7L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
48Game pieces#55
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
219Total score245

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7769
#32
78.50.1
78.578.5
Auto16.4
Teleop51.6
End10.4
blue by 4.5
4476
#14
83.00.4
82.082.4
Auto22.3
Teleop56.9
End3.8
Second
3128
#18
73.50.1
73.673.5
Auto14.4
Teleop48.8
End10.3
blue by 4.3
971
#17
77.90.4
76.977.3
Auto13.2
Teleop53.5
End11.2
Third
5411
#25
69.80.1
69.969.8
Auto17.8
Teleop43.0
End9.0
red by 1.8
9785
#34
68.00.4
67.067.4
Auto12.8
Teleop48.1
End7.0