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Red152
886642.3
297469.2
52195.5
Blue135
634043.7
905712.4
164845.7
74%Model gave it26%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361136080100160180200220152135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+25Teleop
+11Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
26Coral scored#20
93Coral points73
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
121Total teleop103
Reef
11L4#9
7L3#5
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +17
6Foul points0
152Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.20.2
69.069.2
Auto10.6
Teleop56.0
End2.6
red by 23.5
45.70.4
45.345.7
Auto9.6
Teleop28.8
End7.3
Second
42.30.2
42.242.3
Auto7.7
Teleop34.9
End-0.2
blue by 1.4
43.70.4
43.343.7
Auto8.7
Teleop27.8
End7.2
Third
5219
#18
5.50.2
5.35.5
Auto3.0
Teleop1.3
End1.2
blue by 6.9
9057
#22
12.40.4
12.012.4
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End3.1