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Red128
297469.2
881518.0
682931.3
Blue115
164845.7
634043.7
411232.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87974060120140160180128115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points23
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +16
21Coral scored#19
74Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
102Total teleop86
Reef
11L4#9
6L3#7
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
128Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.22.4
51.453.8
Auto10.6
Teleop56.0
End2.6
red by 23.5
45.71.0
34.235.2
Auto9.6
Teleop28.8
End7.3
Second
31.32.4
19.822.2
Auto4.7
Teleop24.2
End2.3
blue by 12.4
43.71.0
34.235.2
Auto8.7
Teleop27.8
End7.2
Third
8815
#11
18.02.4
6.28.6
Auto4.3
Teleop11.5
End2.2
blue by 14.2
4112
#14
32.21.0
19.020.0
Auto6.7
Teleop23.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsMissed