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Red55
948030.0
47017.0
418820.4
Blue56
908616.9
747017.1
857717.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44400102030506070805556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +4
9Coral scored#9
32Coral points34
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
42Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
55Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.01.0
16.617.6
Auto4.1
Teleop20.5
End5.4
red by 12.5
17.51.4
4.76.1
Auto2.1
Teleop13.2
End2.3
Second
4188
#25
20.41.0
14.515.5
Auto2.9
Teleop16.8
End0.6
red by 3.3
7470
#15
17.12.3
19.521.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End1.6
Third
4701
#23
7.01.0
6.37.3
Auto2.2
Teleop3.0
End1.8
blue by 9.9
16.91.4
8.810.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
8%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed