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Red105
694423.8
886642.3
947724.2
Blue64
810024.9
174616.5
1037613.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8543010015010564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+55Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +48
18Coral scored#7
63Coral points25
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
87Total teleop39
Reef
5L4#3
6L3#1
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
105Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.32.0
41.443.4
Auto7.7
Teleop34.9
End-0.2
red by 17.5
8100
#24
24.91.2
19.921.1
Auto3.9
Teleop18.2
End2.8
Second
9477
#10
24.22.0
12.514.5
Auto4.4
Teleop17.9
End1.9
red by 7.6
1746
#20
16.51.2
9.911.0
Auto3.8
Teleop7.6
End5.1
Third
6944
#13
23.82.0
15.817.8
Auto0.1
Teleop20.9
End2.8
red by 9.9
13.91.2
11.112.3
Auto2.6
Teleop10.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsEarned