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Red98
682931.3
634043.7
692525.6
Blue72
590017.9
411232.2
710419.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions894701001509872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+18Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +18
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
68Total teleop50
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
98Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.71.1
33.134.2
Auto8.7
Teleop27.8
End7.2
red by 11.6
4112
#14
32.21.2
17.819.0
Auto6.7
Teleop23.7
End1.8
Second
31.31.1
18.719.8
Auto4.7
Teleop24.2
End2.3
red by 11.4
7104
#19
19.91.2
12.914.1
Auto3.1
Teleop15.0
End1.8
Third
6925
#21
25.61.8
21.923.7
Auto3.2
Teleop20.8
End1.6
red by 7.7
5900
#17
17.91.2
13.715.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed