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Red25
747017.1
47017.0
363524.4
Blue79
418820.4
402633.0
52195.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions642802040801001201402579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+42
Endgame+40
Fouls+54
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +42
2Coral scored#11
6Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
10Total teleop52
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#4
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points14
25Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3635
#12
24.41.9
22.120.3
Auto4.0
Teleop18.7
End1.7
blue by 8.6
33.02.4
14.416.8
Auto6.1
Teleop22.0
End4.9
Second
7470
#15
17.13.1
22.619.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End1.6
blue by 3.3
4188
#25
20.42.4
12.114.5
Auto2.9
Teleop16.8
End0.6
Third
4701
#23
7.01.9
8.16.3
Auto2.2
Teleop3.0
End1.8
red by 1.5
5219
#18
5.52.4
2.44.8
Auto3.0
Teleop1.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed