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Red38
810024.9
908616.9
947724.2
Blue83
876110.8
164845.7
694423.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506001001503883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+33
Endgame+45
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points1
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +32
5Coral scored#10
17Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
25Total teleop57
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points0
38Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8100
#24
24.90.5
20.419.9
Auto3.9
Teleop18.2
End2.8
blue by 20.8
45.71.9
32.334.2
Auto9.6
Teleop28.8
End7.3
Second
9477
#10
24.20.5
13.012.5
Auto4.4
Teleop17.9
End1.9
red by 0.4
6944
#13
23.81.9
13.915.8
Auto0.1
Teleop20.9
End2.8
Third
16.90.5
9.48.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.0
End1.4
red by 6.0
8761
#26
10.81.9
5.67.5
Auto0.9
Teleop8.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
5%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned