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Red91
297469.2
52195.5
810024.9
Blue23
363524.4
590017.9
905712.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1065501509123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+70Teleop
+68Endgame
+68Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +60
13Coral scored#1
48Coral points4
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
68Total teleop8
Reef
7L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
20Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +68
0Foul points0
91Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.20.2
53.853.9
Auto10.6
Teleop56.0
End2.6
red by 44.8
3635
#12
24.41.7
21.219.5
Auto4.0
Teleop18.7
End1.7
Second
8100
#24
24.90.2
21.121.2
Auto3.9
Teleop18.2
End2.8
red by 7.0
5900
#17
17.91.7
14.512.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End3.7
Third
5219
#18
5.50.2
4.44.6
Auto3.0
Teleop1.3
End1.2
blue by 6.9
9057
#22
12.41.7
9.47.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed