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Red106
1037613.9
948030.0
886642.3
Blue22
876110.8
881518.0
47017.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7214040608010012014010622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+86Teleop
+84Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +76
14Coral scored#2
52Coral points6
3Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
18Processor points0
16Net points4
34Algae points4
86Total teleop10
Reef
7L4#1
3L3#1
4L2#0
3L1 · trough#0
24Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +84
0Foul points0
106Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.33.2
38.541.6
Auto7.7
Teleop34.9
End-0.2
red by 24.4
8815
#11
18.00.2
5.05.3
Auto4.3
Teleop11.5
End2.2
Second
30.03.2
13.016.2
Auto4.1
Teleop20.5
End5.4
red by 19.1
8761
#26
10.80.2
5.45.6
Auto0.9
Teleop8.0
End1.9
Third
13.93.2
7.010.2
Auto2.6
Teleop10.1
End1.3
red by 6.9
4701
#23
7.00.2
7.98.1
Auto2.2
Teleop3.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed