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Red96
747017.1
634043.7
402633.0
Blue27
692525.6
694423.8
52195.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions724302060801001201409627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+61Teleop
+69Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave0
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
23Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +41
11Coral scored#4
41Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
59Total teleop18
Reef
4L4#2
6L3#2
4L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#6
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
0Foul points0
96Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.72.3
30.833.1
Auto8.7
Teleop27.8
End7.2
red by 18.1
6925
#21
25.61.7
24.022.3
Auto3.2
Teleop20.8
End1.6
Second
33.02.3
12.214.4
Auto6.1
Teleop22.0
End4.9
red by 9.2
6944
#13
23.81.0
14.913.9
Auto0.1
Teleop20.9
End2.8
Third
7470
#15
17.13.8
18.822.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End1.6
red by 11.6
5219
#18
5.51.0
3.52.4
Auto3.0
Teleop1.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed