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Red62
418820.4
411232.2
810024.9
Blue71
682931.3
908616.9
164845.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546801001502002503006271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+5Teleop
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +15
10Coral scored#8
36Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
54Total teleop39
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
62Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4112
#14
32.21.0
16.817.8
Auto6.7
Teleop23.7
End1.8
blue by 13.5
45.70.9
31.532.3
Auto9.6
Teleop28.8
End7.3
Second
8100
#24
24.91.0
19.420.4
Auto3.9
Teleop18.2
End2.8
blue by 6.4
31.30.9
17.918.7
Auto4.7
Teleop24.2
End2.3
Third
4188
#25
20.41.0
11.112.1
Auto2.9
Teleop16.8
End0.6
red by 3.5
16.90.9
8.59.4
Auto3.5
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsEarned