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Red72
174616.5
363524.4
948030.0
Blue114
590017.9
1037613.9
297469.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5593020408012014016072114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+38
Endgame+36
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +21
9Coral scored#16
32Coral points59
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
56Total teleop77
Reef
5L4#10
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
6Foul points12
72Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.4
16.216.6
Auto4.1
Teleop20.5
End5.4
blue by 39.2
69.20.9
50.551.4
Auto10.6
Teleop56.0
End2.6
Second
3635
#12
24.40.4
21.722.1
Auto4.0
Teleop18.7
End1.7
red by 6.5
5900
#17
17.90.9
12.813.7
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End3.7
Third
1746
#20
16.50.4
9.49.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.6
End5.1
red by 2.7
13.90.9
10.211.1
Auto2.6
Teleop10.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsEarned