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Red30
905712.4
692525.6
1037613.9
Blue92
297469.2
908616.9
747017.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions511020204060801201401603092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+64
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +57
3Coral scored#14
10Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
20Total teleop77
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#4
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
30Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6925
#21
25.62.5
25.723.2
Auto3.2
Teleop20.8
End1.6
blue by 43.6
69.20.2
53.954.1
Auto10.6
Teleop56.0
End2.6
Second
13.91.5
12.911.4
Auto2.6
Teleop10.1
End1.3
blue by 3.2
7470
#15
17.10.3
16.116.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End1.6
Third
9057
#22
12.41.5
7.76.2
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End3.1
blue by 4.5
16.90.2
10.710.9
Auto3.5
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed