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Red67
174616.5
411232.2
52195.5
Blue108
634043.7
881518.0
947724.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37640208010012067108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+29
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +26
10Coral scored#17
36Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
50Total teleop76
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points0
67Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4112
#14
32.22.1
21.823.9
Auto6.7
Teleop23.7
End1.8
blue by 11.6
43.73.7
31.635.2
Auto8.7
Teleop27.8
End7.2
Second
1746
#20
16.52.1
11.313.4
Auto3.8
Teleop7.6
End5.1
blue by 7.6
9477
#10
24.23.7
13.717.4
Auto4.4
Teleop17.9
End1.9
Third
5219
#18
5.52.1
2.74.8
Auto3.0
Teleop1.3
End1.2
blue by 12.5
8815
#11
18.03.7
7.611.3
Auto4.3
Teleop11.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsEarned