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Red104
164845.7
886642.3
905712.4
Blue59
908616.9
402633.0
1037613.9
96%Model gave it4%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9943020608012014016010459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+29Teleop
+39Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +25
12Coral scored#6
42Coral points21
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
66Total teleop41
Reef
4L4#3
6L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
6Foul points0
104Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.70.8
35.536.3
Auto9.6
Teleop28.8
End7.3
red by 12.7
33.01.0
22.223.2
Auto6.1
Teleop22.0
End4.9
Second
42.30.8
43.844.6
Auto7.7
Teleop34.9
End-0.2
red by 25.5
16.91.0
10.911.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Third
9057
#22
12.40.8
6.27.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End3.1
blue by 1.5
13.91.0
11.412.4
Auto2.6
Teleop10.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed