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Red115
810024.9
363524.4
886642.3
Blue136
411232.2
297469.2
47017.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100104708090110120130140115136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+19
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points14
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +15
19Coral scored#18
67Coral points64
2Processor algae#5
4Net algae#4
12Processor points30
16Net points16
28Algae points46
95Total teleop110
Reef
9L4#6
7L3#8
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
115Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.30.5
44.645.1
Auto7.7
Teleop34.9
End-0.2
blue by 26.9
69.21.7
57.258.9
Auto10.6
Teleop56.0
End2.6
Second
8100
#24
24.90.5
21.922.4
Auto3.9
Teleop18.2
End2.8
blue by 7.3
4112
#14
32.21.7
23.925.6
Auto6.7
Teleop23.7
End1.8
Third
3635
#12
24.40.5
20.521.0
Auto4.0
Teleop18.7
End1.7
red by 17.4
4701
#23
7.01.7
5.57.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
6%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed