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Red58
1037613.9
164845.7
418820.4
Blue115
634043.7
590017.9
857717.5
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions746305010015058115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+45
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +35
8Coral scored#16
30Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
48Total teleop83
Reef
2L4#9
4L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
58Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.71.1
36.335.2
Auto9.6
Teleop28.8
End7.3
red by 2.0
43.73.2
35.238.5
Auto8.7
Teleop27.8
End7.2
Second
4188
#25
20.41.1
18.217.0
Auto2.9
Teleop16.8
End0.6
red by 2.4
5900
#17
17.93.2
13.817.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End3.7
Third
13.91.1
12.411.3
Auto2.6
Teleop10.1
End1.3
blue by 3.6
17.53.2
8.812.0
Auto2.1
Teleop13.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned