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Red80
710419.9
948030.0
694423.8
Blue89
905712.4
402633.0
682931.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606540801008089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+21
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +17
10Coral scored#11
37Coral points38
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
55Total teleop72
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
80Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.01.2
19.721.0
Auto4.1
Teleop20.5
End5.4
blue by 3.0
33.01.8
24.326.1
Auto6.1
Teleop22.0
End4.9
Second
6944
#13
23.81.2
17.518.7
Auto0.1
Teleop20.9
End2.8
blue by 7.5
31.31.8
25.327.1
Auto4.7
Teleop24.2
End2.3
Third
7104
#19
19.91.2
15.116.4
Auto3.1
Teleop15.0
End1.8
red by 7.5
9057
#22
12.41.8
7.18.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed