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Red104
886642.3
411232.2
881518.0
Blue131
174616.5
297469.2
876110.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9994050150200250300104131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+17
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +5
3Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points24
19Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +12
19Coral scored#19
67Coral points69
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
81Total teleop93
Reef
5L4#5
6L3#7
6L2#7
5L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
104Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.30.9
45.146.0
Auto7.7
Teleop34.9
End-0.2
blue by 26.9
69.22.9
58.961.8
Auto10.6
Teleop56.0
End2.6
Second
4112
#14
32.20.9
25.626.5
Auto6.7
Teleop23.7
End1.8
red by 15.6
1746
#20
16.52.9
13.816.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.6
End5.1
Third
8815
#11
18.00.9
12.213.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.5
End2.2
red by 7.1
8761
#26
10.82.9
6.19.0
Auto0.9
Teleop8.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsEarned