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Red46
908616.9
692525.6
590017.9
Blue66
363524.4
52195.5
634043.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617520401001201404666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+10
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +3
5Coral scored#6
17Coral points20
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
25Total teleop28
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
6Foul points6
46Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6925
#21
25.61.5
25.123.6
Auto3.2
Teleop20.8
End1.6
blue by 18.1
43.70.2
38.538.3
Auto8.7
Teleop27.8
End7.2
Second
5900
#17
17.91.0
17.016.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End3.7
blue by 6.5
3635
#12
24.40.2
21.020.7
Auto4.0
Teleop18.7
End1.7
Third
16.91.0
12.711.7
Auto3.5
Teleop12.0
End1.4
red by 11.4
5219
#18
5.50.2
3.93.7
Auto3.0
Teleop1.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsEarned