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Red80
402633.0
174616.5
590017.9
Blue102
747017.1
164845.7
411232.2
8%Model gave it92%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5810205015080102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+38
Endgame+24
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points21
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +20
7Coral scored#12
24Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
12Processor points6
4Net points12
16Algae points18
40Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#20
BargeRed +14
26Cage & park12
26Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
2Foul points0
80Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.01.4
26.627.9
Auto6.1
Teleop22.0
End4.9
blue by 12.7
45.71.0
40.541.5
Auto9.6
Teleop28.8
End7.3
Second
5900
#17
17.91.4
14.816.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.5
End3.7
blue by 14.2
4112
#14
32.21.0
29.930.9
Auto6.7
Teleop23.7
End1.8
Third
1746
#20
16.51.4
16.117.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.6
End5.1
blue by 0.5
7470
#15
17.11.2
16.918.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed