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Red73
710419.9
947724.2
363524.4
Blue88
47017.0
1037613.9
634043.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81690501001507388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+3
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +7
10Coral scored#11
35Coral points40
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
65Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
73Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3635
#12
24.40.6
24.023.3
Auto4.0
Teleop18.7
End1.7
blue by 19.3
43.70.9
41.242.1
Auto8.7
Teleop27.8
End7.2
Second
9477
#10
24.20.6
23.422.8
Auto4.4
Teleop17.9
End1.9
red by 10.3
13.90.9
11.612.5
Auto2.6
Teleop10.1
End1.3
Third
7104
#19
19.90.6
17.116.4
Auto3.1
Teleop15.0
End1.8
red by 12.9
4701
#23
7.00.9
6.57.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned