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Red48
857717.5
52195.5
881518.0
Blue78
905712.4
810024.9
948030.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386802060801001204878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+36
Endgame+48
Fouls+30
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +39
3Coral scored#11
10Coral points41
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
0Processor points0
4Net points12
4Algae points12
14Total teleop53
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
18Foul points0
48Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8815
#11
18.00.4
14.313.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.5
End2.2
blue by 12.0
30.01.4
24.726.2
Auto4.1
Teleop20.5
End5.4
Second
17.50.4
15.314.8
Auto2.1
Teleop13.2
End2.3
blue by 7.4
8100
#24
24.91.4
22.724.1
Auto3.9
Teleop18.2
End2.8
Third
5219
#18
5.50.4
6.96.5
Auto3.0
Teleop1.3
End1.2
blue by 6.9
9057
#22
12.41.4
8.910.3
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsEarned